Investment/Securities

US Treasuries at 'tipping point': Stock-bond correlation shifts as fixed-income market issues recession warning

US Treasuries at ‘tipping point’: Stock-bond correlation shifts as fixed-income market issues recession warning

Bonds and stocks could return to their usual relationship, a boon for investors with a traditional mix of assets in their portfolios as the United States fears a recession this year. “At the end of the day, correlation has now reverted to more traditional correlation, where stocks and bonds don’t necessarily move together,” said Kathy …

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Crypto platform Bitzlato accused of laundering over $700 million in illicit money

Crypto platform Bitzlato accused of laundering over $700 million in illicit money

US authorities have designated the cryptocurrency exchange Bitzlato Ltd. as a major money laundering problem and accused its founder of allegedly facilitating money laundering for criminals. The Treasury Department named Bitzlato under a section of the USA Patriot Act, a law used to combat money laundering and terrorist financing, for allegedly laundering illicit funds for …

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Investors are “desperate” for a recession that forces the Fed to cut interest rates, but what will happen to markets if the economy remains healthy?

Investors are “desperate” for a recession that forces the Fed to cut interest rates, but what will happen to markets if the economy remains healthy?

As 2023 kicks off, markets are clinging to expectations that the U.S. economy will slide into a recession that effectively forces the Federal Reserve to start cutting interest rates, slashing bond yields and borrowing costs, and perhaps help stock market valuations. U.S. economic data released over the past few months shows that inflation has moderated, …

Investors are “desperate” for a recession that forces the Fed to cut interest rates, but what will happen to markets if the economy remains healthy? Read More »

History shows the odds are in favor of a 20% stock market return in 2023 after a brutal 2022, says Fundstrat

History shows the odds are in favor of a 20% stock market return in 2023 after a brutal 2022, says Fundstrat

Historical data shows the U.S. stock market is likely to return 20% or more this year after the three major indices closed 2022 with their worst annual losses since 2008, according to Fundstrat Global Advisors. Fundstrat’s head of research Tom Lee said equity investors are more likely to see a year of positive returns than …

History shows the odds are in favor of a 20% stock market return in 2023 after a brutal 2022, says Fundstrat Read More »

How a Santa Claus rally, or lack thereof, sets the stage for the stock market in the first quarter

How a Santa Claus rally, or lack thereof, sets the stage for the stock market in the first quarter

This is the time of year when the traditional seasonal rally in US equities known as the “Santa Claus Rally” usually occurs. But unlike past holiday periods, this one could get bogged down in the risks of a recession and a continued rise in interest rates in the new year. The Santa Claus rally refers …

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How a Santa Claus rally, or lack thereof, sets the stage for the stock market in the first quarter

How a Santa Claus rally, or lack thereof, sets the stage for the stock market in the first quarter

This is the time of year when the traditional seasonal rally in US equities known as the “Santa Claus Rally” usually occurs. But unlike past holiday periods, this one could get bogged down in the risks of a recession and a continued rise in interest rates in the new year. The Santa Claus rally refers …

How a Santa Claus rally, or lack thereof, sets the stage for the stock market in the first quarter Read More »

Dow drops nearly 500 points after strong data and bearish comments from David Tepper

Dow drops nearly 500 points after strong data and bearish comments from David Tepper

U.S. stocks traded lower on Thursday, erasing most of their gains from their biggest rally in three weeks after a string of upbeat economic data and a warning from hedge fund titan David Tepper that he was “leaning short” against stocks and bonds on expectations the Federal Reserve and other central banks will continue to …

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Economist who pioneered use of closely-watched recession tool says it could send 'wrong signal'

Economist who pioneered use of closely-watched recession tool says it could send ‘wrong signal’

For months, the bond market has issued multiple warnings that a US recession could be imminent, a view that many financial market participants have finally accepted. One is the 10-year minus 3-month treasury yield spread, which has been below zero since late October, but hasn’t been negative long enough to send a definitive statement about …

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Why stock investors shouldn't count on a "Santa Claus" rally this year

Why stock investors shouldn’t count on a “Santa Claus” rally this year

Investors, like children on Christmas Eve, expect Santa Claus to come down the chimney, walk to Wall Street and deliver the rewarding gift of a stock market rally. This year, however, investors might be better off betting on a lump of coal, rather than waiting for tangible stock market gains to emerge this holiday season, …

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